Scouting Report
Jack Hughes holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Perry wins 34.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perry 37.3% vs Hughes 36.6% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 58.3%
Defensive zone
Perry 53.1%
Neutral zone
Perry 58.4%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Perry
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Perry
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
1
Perry
Hughes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perry
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
31.1% (196)
36.0% (2,887)
-4.9%
Power Play
35.1% (37)
38.8% (224)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
39.4% (33)
31.0% (42)
+8.4%
On penalty kill, Perry has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Perry is 34.3% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Perry shoots right. Hughes is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,222).
Home / Away
Perry
Hughes
Home
31.8% (129)
36.8% (1,670)
Away
33.3% (138)
35.4% (1,483)
By Period
Perry
Hughes
P1
34.7%
36.9%
P2
30.2%
33.6%
P3
33.3%
38.1%
OT
0.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
27.3%
34.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perry
36.0%▲
30.0%
32.6%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 04:51 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |