Scouting Report
Cory Emmerton holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Emmerton on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Emmerton wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Smith shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Emmerton 46.2% vs Smith 43.0% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Emmerton leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Emmerton 64.3%
Defensive zone
Emmerton 76.2%
Neutral zone
Emmerton 69.1%
Result
Cory Emmerton favored at 69.1%
69.1%
30.9%
Emmerton
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Emmerton
Smith
Last 10: Emmerton 6-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Emmerton
2
1
Emmerton
Smith
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Emmerton
2
0
Emmerton
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Emmerton
Smith
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Emmerton
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (368)
37.4% (163)
+7.4%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
48.6% (37)
+1.4%
On even strength, Emmerton has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. Emmerton is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (122).
Emmerton shoots left. Smith is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Emmerton
Smith
Home
44.6% (213)
47.1% (68)
Away
46.0% (200)
35.6% (132)
By Period
Emmerton
Smith
P1
46.3%
32.8%
P2
43.8%
42.0%
P3
45.7%
43.8%
Final 5 min
37.6%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
45.3%
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2013 | 3 | 14:21 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 3 | 11:48 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 3 | 06:17 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 3 | 05:57 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 3 | 03:11 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 2 | 15:33 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 2 | 01:56 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 3 | 11:33 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 2 | 15:11 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 2 | 00:54 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |