Scouting Report
Cory Emmerton holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Emmerton on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Emmerton 47.8% vs Smith 41.2% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Emmerton leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Emmerton 56.5%
Defensive zone
Emmerton 94.4%
Neutral zone
Emmerton 80.0%
Result
Cory Emmerton favored at 77.7%
77.7%
22.3%
Emmerton
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Emmerton
Smith
Last 10: Emmerton 6-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Emmerton
2
1
Emmerton
Smith
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Emmerton
3
0
Emmerton
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Emmerton
Smith
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Emmerton
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (764)
40.8% (1,023)
+6.3%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
39.4% (198)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (59)
44.4% (9)
+8.1%
On penalty kill, Emmerton has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. Emmerton is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Emmerton shoots left. Smith is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (920).
Home / Away
Emmerton
Smith
Home
47.2% (453)
42.3% (556)
Away
47.8% (381)
39.1% (675)
By Period
Emmerton
Smith
P1
45.4%
39.0%
P2
48.5%
42.1%
P3
48.9%
40.2%
Final 5 min
42.7%
40.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.5%
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
40.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2013 | 3 | 14:21 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 3 | 11:48 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 3 | 06:17 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 3 | 05:57 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 3 | 03:11 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 2 | 15:33 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 2 | 01:56 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 3 | 11:33 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 2 | 15:11 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 2 | 00:54 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 2 | 04:11 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |