Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Emmerton on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Emmerton 47.8% vs McClement 52.7% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Emmerton leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Emmerton 70.2%
Defensive zone
McClement 84.3%
Neutral zone
McClement 68.0%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Emmerton
McClement
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Emmerton
McClement
Last 10: Emmerton 6-4 McClement
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Emmerton
4
1
Emmerton
McClement
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
1
3
Emmerton
McClement
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Emmerton
McClement
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Emmerton
McClement
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (764)
54.4% (4,305)
-7.3%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
62.5% (104)
-17.0%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (59)
47.2% (1,440)
+5.3%
On power play, McClement has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McClement shoots left. Emmerton is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Emmerton shoots left. McClement is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
Home / Away
Emmerton
McClement
Home
47.2% (453)
55.4% (2,788)
Away
47.8% (381)
50.4% (3,083)
By Period
Emmerton
McClement
P1
45.4%
53.5%
P2
48.5%
52.0%
P3
48.9%
53.2%
Final 5 min
42.7%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.5%
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 02:06 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 01:56 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 1 | 02:44 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 2 | 14:45 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 2 | 06:19 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 2 | 02:42 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 1 | 08:13 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 1 | 05:25 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 2 | 06:22 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 1 | 04:57 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 05:20 | Neutral | Jay McClement |