Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Emmerton on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Emmerton 47.8% vs Goc 52.3% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goc 58.8%
Defensive zone
Goc 89.5%
Neutral zone
Goc 71.0%
Result
Marcel Goc favored at 83.3%
16.7%
83.3%
Emmerton
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Emmerton
Goc
Last 6: Emmerton 5-1 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Emmerton
3
1
Emmerton
Goc
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Emmerton
2
0
Emmerton
Goc
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Emmerton
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (764)
53.0% (3,301)
-5.9%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
58.0% (314)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (59)
47.4% (728)
+5.1%
On power play, Goc has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Emmerton is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Emmerton shoots left. Goc is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,768).
Home / Away
Emmerton
Goc
Home
47.2% (453)
53.9% (2,079)
Away
47.8% (381)
51.0% (2,296)
By Period
Emmerton
Goc
P1
45.4%
51.9%
P2
48.5%
53.1%
P3
48.9%
52.4%
Final 5 min
42.7%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.5%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2014 | 2 | 17:33 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 1 | 08:46 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 2 | 15:17 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 1 | 07:25 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 1 | 04:28 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 2 | 18:11 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |