Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Emmerton 48.7% vs Koivu 52.1% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Emmerton 64.7%
Defensive zone
Emmerton 50.2%
Neutral zone
Emmerton 56.5%
Result
Cory Emmerton favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Emmerton
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Emmerton
Koivu
Last 6: Emmerton 1-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Emmerton
Koivu
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
3
Emmerton
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Emmerton
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Emmerton
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (299)
52.5% (802)
-4.3%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
52.0% (198)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
49.5% (105)
+7.6%
On power play, Koivu has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Emmerton is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Emmerton shoots left. Koivu is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
Emmerton
Koivu
Home
49.7% (183)
54.6% (584)
Away
46.2% (130)
49.7% (539)
By Period
Emmerton
Koivu
P1
45.5%
50.7%
P2
50.0%
51.1%
P3
49.4%
54.4%
Final 5 min
46.2%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
48.2%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 00:32 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 19:27 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 06:16 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 06:06 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 1 | 02:04 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |