Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Emmerton 47.8% vs Koivu 54.0% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Emmerton 67.6%
Defensive zone
Emmerton 69.8%
Neutral zone
Emmerton 68.2%
Result
Cory Emmerton favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Emmerton
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Emmerton
Koivu
Last 10: Emmerton 3-7 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Emmerton
Koivu
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
5
Emmerton
Koivu
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Emmerton
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Emmerton
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (764)
54.0% (9,465)
-6.9%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
58.6% (2,100)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (59)
48.9% (1,688)
+3.6%
On power play, Koivu has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Emmerton is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Emmerton shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Home / Away
Emmerton
Koivu
Home
47.2% (453)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
47.8% (381)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Emmerton
Koivu
P1
45.4%
53.5%
P2
48.5%
54.6%
P3
48.9%
54.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.5%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2013 | 3 | 19:35 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 2 | 19:01 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 2 | 13:22 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 3 | 03:22 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 00:32 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 19:27 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 06:16 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 06:06 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 1 | 02:04 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |