Scouting Report
Cory Emmerton holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Emmerton 48.7% vs Bonino 44.2% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 52.7%
Defensive zone
Bonino 72.6%
Neutral zone
Bonino 58.0%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 68.7%
31.3%
68.7%
Emmerton
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Emmerton
Bonino
Last 5: Emmerton 2-3 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Emmerton
1
0
Emmerton
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
3
Emmerton
Bonino
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Emmerton
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (299)
43.3% (423)
+4.9%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
45.5% (22)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
20.0% (5)
+37.1%
On penalty kill, Emmerton has a +37.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Emmerton is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Emmerton shoots left. Bonino is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (301).
Home / Away
Emmerton
Bonino
Home
49.7% (183)
44.1% (222)
Away
46.2% (130)
41.8% (232)
By Period
Emmerton
Bonino
P1
45.5%
43.9%
P2
50.0%
43.4%
P3
49.4%
41.6%
Final 5 min
46.2%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
48.2%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2012 | 3 | 07:41 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 3 | 04:43 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 1 | 14:56 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 2 | 03:01 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 1 | 02:31 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |