Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Emmerton 47.8% vs Bonino 50.0% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Emmerton 69.1%
Defensive zone
Bonino 68.9%
Neutral zone
Bonino 51.4%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 62.6%
37.4%
62.6%
Emmerton
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Emmerton
Bonino
Last 6: Emmerton 3-3 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Emmerton
1
0
Emmerton
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
3
Emmerton
Bonino
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Emmerton
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (764)
50.6% (8,315)
-3.5%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
54.1% (972)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (59)
44.6% (1,693)
+7.9%
On power play, Bonino has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Emmerton is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Emmerton shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Emmerton
Bonino
Home
47.2% (453)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
47.8% (381)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Emmerton
Bonino
P1
45.4%
50.6%
P2
48.5%
48.5%
P3
48.9%
51.1%
Final 5 min
42.7%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.5%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2013 | 3 | 13:24 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 3 | 07:41 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 3 | 04:43 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 1 | 14:56 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 2 | 03:01 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 1 | 02:31 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |