Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Emmerton 48.7% vs Gaustad 56.7% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Emmerton 79.6%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 80.3%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 50.5%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Emmerton
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Emmerton
Gaustad
Last 9: Emmerton 4-5 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Emmerton
2
1
Emmerton
Gaustad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
4
Emmerton
Gaustad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Emmerton
2
0
Emmerton
Gaustad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Emmerton
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (299)
57.8% (854)
-9.6%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
56.0% (25)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
55.1% (263)
+2.0%
On power play, Gaustad has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Emmerton is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Emmerton shoots left. Gaustad is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (734).
Home / Away
Emmerton
Gaustad
Home
49.7% (183)
61.3% (633)
Away
46.2% (130)
52.4% (517)
By Period
Emmerton
Gaustad
P1
45.5%
57.9%
P2
50.0%
55.3%
P3
49.4%
58.3%
Final 5 min
46.2%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
48.2%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2012 | 3 | 01:55 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 2 | 02:20 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 1 | 12:41 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 1 | 12:28 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 1 | 04:37 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 17:07 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 07:43 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 05:59 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 1 | 11:54 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |