Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Emmerton 47.8% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Emmerton 84.4%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 73.1%
Neutral zone
Emmerton 50.9%
Result
Cory Emmerton favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Emmerton
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Emmerton
Gaustad
Last 9: Emmerton 4-5 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Emmerton
2
1
Emmerton
Gaustad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
4
Emmerton
Gaustad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Emmerton
2
0
Emmerton
Gaustad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Emmerton
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (764)
58.2% (4,334)
-11.1%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
65.4% (188)
-19.9%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (59)
54.8% (1,290)
-2.3%
On power play, Gaustad has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Emmerton is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Emmerton shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
Emmerton
Gaustad
Home
47.2% (453)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
47.8% (381)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Emmerton
Gaustad
P1
45.4%
58.2%
P2
48.5%
56.4%
P3
48.9%
58.3%
Final 5 min
42.7%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.5%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2012 | 3 | 01:55 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 2 | 02:20 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 1 | 12:41 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 1 | 12:28 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 1 | 04:37 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 17:07 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 07:43 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 05:59 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 1 | 11:54 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |