Scouting Report
Cory Emmerton holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Emmerton on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Emmerton 47.8% vs Horak 43.9% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Emmerton 83.0%
Defensive zone
Emmerton 62.2%
Neutral zone
Emmerton 72.0%
Result
Cory Emmerton favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Emmerton
Horak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Emmerton
Horak
Last 6: Emmerton 4-2 Horak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Emmerton
1
0
Emmerton
Horak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Emmerton
Horak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Emmerton
2
1
Emmerton
Horak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Emmerton
Horak
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (764)
41.8% (594)
+5.3%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
51.4% (37)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (59)
57.9% (19)
-5.4%
On power play, Horak has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horak shoots left. Emmerton is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Emmerton shoots left. Horak is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (417).
Home / Away
Emmerton
Horak
Home
47.2% (453)
43.7% (325)
Away
47.8% (381)
42.2% (327)
By Period
Emmerton
Horak
P1
45.4%
42.4%
P2
48.5%
44.2%
P3
48.9%
42.6%
Final 5 min
42.7%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.5%
Horak
38.0%▼
46.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2013 | 3 | 04:49 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 11:13 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 01:27 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 18:42 | Neutral | Roman Horak |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 17:39 | Defensive | Roman Horak |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 17:18 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |