Scouting Report
Cory Emmerton holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Smyth on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Emmerton 47.8% vs Smyth 45.8% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smyth 57.7%
Defensive zone
Smyth 52.8%
Neutral zone
Smyth 54.6%
Result
Ryan Smyth favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Emmerton
Smyth
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Emmerton
Smyth
Last 9: Emmerton 4-5 Smyth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Emmerton
1
0
Emmerton
Smyth
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Emmerton
Smyth
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smyth
2
4
Emmerton
Smyth
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Emmerton
Smyth
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (764)
45.2% (456)
+1.9%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
51.8% (164)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (59)
23.3% (43)
+29.2%
On penalty kill, Emmerton has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smyth shoots left. Emmerton is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Emmerton shoots left. Smyth is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (434).
Home / Away
Emmerton
Smyth
Home
47.2% (453)
49.7% (340)
Away
47.8% (381)
40.5% (326)
By Period
Emmerton
Smyth
P1
45.4%
48.3%
P2
48.5%
41.7%
P3
48.9%
46.5%
Final 5 min
42.7%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.5%
Smyth
50.0%▬
50.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2014 | 2 | 09:03 | Neutral | Ryan Smyth |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 2 | 03:06 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 1 | 05:49 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 15, 2013 | 3 | 07:40 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 15, 2013 | 2 | 11:42 | Neutral | Ryan Smyth |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 1 | 14:13 | Neutral | Ryan Smyth |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 1 | 14:05 | Neutral | Ryan Smyth |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 1 | 03:09 | Defensive | Ryan Smyth |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 1 | 03:06 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |