Scouting Report
John Madden holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Adams on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Adams wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Madden shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adams 46.4% vs Madden 49.6% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Madden 62.5%
Defensive zone
Madden 54.8%
Neutral zone
Madden 60.1%
Result
John Madden favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Adams
Madden
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Adams
Madden
Last 5: Adams 3-2 Madden
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Adams
Madden
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Adams
2
1
Adams
Madden
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adams
Madden
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (170)
49.6% (268)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (118)
57.1% (35)
-19.8%
On penalty kill, Madden has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Madden shoots left. Adams is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (188).
Adams shoots right. Madden is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Home / Away
Adams
Madden
Home
45.8% (131)
52.3% (151)
Away
44.7% (161)
46.9% (162)
By Period
Adams
Madden
P1
46.4%
54.9%
P2
48.2%
54.1%
P3
42.1%
40.5%
Final 5 min
46.8%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adams
42.0%▼
45.0%
45.2%
Madden
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2012 | 3 | 03:20 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Mar 9, 2012 | 2 | 02:34 | Offensive | Craig Adams |
| Mar 9, 2012 | 1 | 13:37 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 3 | 12:57 | Offensive | John Madden |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 3 | 07:56 | Defensive | John Madden |