Scouting Report
John Madden holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Adams on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Adams wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Madden shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adams 44.5% vs Madden 50.6% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Madden 50.4%
Defensive zone
Madden 54.8%
Neutral zone
Madden 51.0%
Result
John Madden favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Adams
Madden
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Adams
Madden
Last 6: Adams 3-3 Madden
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Adams
Madden
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Adams
2
1
Adams
Madden
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Madden
0
1
Adams
Madden
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adams
Madden
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (632)
51.2% (1,083)
-3.9%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
51.5% (33)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (386)
47.6% (164)
-8.5%
On penalty kill, Madden has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Madden shoots left. Adams is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (704).
Adams shoots right. Madden is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (429).
Home / Away
Adams
Madden
Home
42.0% (488)
52.7% (678)
Away
45.8% (546)
48.5% (623)
By Period
Adams
Madden
P1
46.5%
51.5%
P2
40.5%
52.5%
P3
45.5%
47.6%
OT
50.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
42.2%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adams
42.0%▼
45.0%
44.0%
Madden
54.0%▲
50.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2012 | 3 | 03:20 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Mar 9, 2012 | 2 | 02:34 | Offensive | Craig Adams |
| Mar 9, 2012 | 1 | 13:37 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 3 | 12:57 | Offensive | John Madden |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 3 | 07:56 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 1 | 17:40 | Neutral | John Madden |