Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Adams wins 42.4% vs left-shot opponents — Richards shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adams 43.2% vs Richards 49.8% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Adams 78.0%
Defensive zone
Adams 85.3%
Neutral zone
Adams 76.9%
Result
Craig Adams favored at 80.4%
80.4%
19.6%
Adams
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Adams
Richards
Last 10: Adams 2-8 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
1
3
Adams
Richards
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
1
3
Adams
Richards
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
1
2
Adams
Richards
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adams
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (280)
47.9% (943)
-3.6%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
61.1% (157)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (175)
52.9% (102)
-14.6%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Adams is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Adams shoots right. Richards is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (448).
Home / Away
Adams
Richards
Home
37.1% (213)
50.9% (617)
Away
45.6% (252)
48.7% (599)
By Period
Adams
Richards
P1
46.6%
45.4%
P2
35.8%
52.5%
P3
43.0%
51.3%
OT
100.0%
55.0%
Final 5 min
39.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adams
42.0%▼
45.0%
41.7%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2011 | 3 | 07:35 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 3 | 07:06 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 3 | 01:44 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 2 | 05:08 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 1 | 02:46 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Dec 14, 2010 | 3 | 06:14 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Dec 14, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 3 | 10:32 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 3 | 02:19 | Offensive | Craig Adams |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 2 | 03:46 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 1 | 17:42 | Neutral | Craig Adams |