Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Adams wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Richards shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adams 44.5% vs Richards 50.5% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Adams 71.7%
Defensive zone
Adams 85.7%
Neutral zone
Adams 75.9%
Result
Craig Adams favored at 78.0%
78.0%
22.0%
Adams
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Adams
Richards
Last 10: Adams 2-8 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
1
4
Adams
Richards
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
2
3
Adams
Richards
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
1
2
Adams
Richards
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adams
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (632)
50.0% (3,722)
-2.7%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
54.6% (445)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (386)
51.4% (502)
-12.3%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Adams is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (704).
Adams shoots right. Richards is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,577).
Home / Away
Adams
Richards
Home
42.0% (488)
50.8% (2,363)
Away
45.8% (546)
50.3% (2,336)
By Period
Adams
Richards
P1
46.5%
49.6%
P2
40.5%
52.3%
P3
45.5%
49.3%
OT
50.0%
58.0%
Final 5 min
42.2%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adams
42.0%▼
45.0%
44.0%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2014 | 3 | 11:17 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 01:53 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 3 | 07:35 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 3 | 07:06 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 3 | 01:44 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 2 | 05:08 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 1 | 02:46 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Dec 14, 2010 | 3 | 06:14 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Dec 14, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 3 | 10:32 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 3 | 02:19 | Offensive | Craig Adams |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 2 | 03:46 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 1 | 17:42 | Neutral | Craig Adams |