Scouting Report
Mike Santorelli holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Santorelli on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Adams wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Santorelli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adams 43.2% vs Santorelli 50.2% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Santorelli 50.8%
Defensive zone
Adams 85.3%
Neutral zone
Adams 66.1%
Result
Craig Adams favored at 64.3%
64.3%
35.7%
Adams
Santorelli
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Adams
Santorelli
Last 7: Adams 2-5 Santorelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Santorelli
1
2
Adams
Santorelli
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Adams
Santorelli
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Santorelli
0
2
Adams
Santorelli
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adams
Santorelli
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (280)
48.7% (754)
-4.4%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
57.9% (183)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (175)
49.4% (87)
-11.1%
On penalty kill, Santorelli has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Santorelli shoots right. Adams is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Adams shoots right. Santorelli is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Home / Away
Adams
Santorelli
Home
37.1% (213)
50.0% (502)
Away
45.6% (252)
50.4% (530)
By Period
Adams
Santorelli
P1
46.6%
53.4%
P2
35.8%
50.4%
P3
43.0%
46.9%
OT
100.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
39.6%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adams
42.0%▼
45.0%
41.7%
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2011 | 3 | 15:26 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Mar 27, 2011 | 3 | 17:34 | Offensive | Craig Adams |
| Mar 27, 2011 | 2 | 18:03 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Mar 27, 2011 | 1 | 14:29 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Mar 27, 2011 | 1 | 12:59 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 2 | 06:19 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 22, 2010 | 2 | 04:14 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |