Scouting Report
Mike Santorelli holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Santorelli on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Adams wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Santorelli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adams 44.5% vs Santorelli 49.5% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Santorelli leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Santorelli 64.6%
Defensive zone
Adams 74.3%
Neutral zone
Adams 56.4%
Result
Craig Adams favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Adams
Santorelli
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Adams
Santorelli
Last 10: Adams 5-5 Santorelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Santorelli
1
2
Adams
Santorelli
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Santorelli
1
2
Adams
Santorelli
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Adams
Santorelli
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adams
Santorelli
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (632)
48.4% (1,835)
-1.1%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
56.0% (298)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (386)
48.5% (132)
-9.4%
On penalty kill, Santorelli has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Santorelli shoots right. Adams is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (330).
Adams shoots right. Santorelli is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (722).
Home / Away
Adams
Santorelli
Home
42.0% (488)
50.4% (1,079)
Away
45.8% (546)
48.5% (1,199)
By Period
Adams
Santorelli
P1
46.5%
51.0%
P2
40.5%
49.7%
P3
45.5%
47.6%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.2%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adams
42.0%▼
45.0%
44.0%
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2012 | 2 | 15:09 | Neutral | Craig Adams |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 2 | 14:57 | Neutral | Craig Adams |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 2 | 01:49 | Neutral | Craig Adams |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 1 | 04:37 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 1 | 01:54 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 3 | 15:26 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Mar 27, 2011 | 3 | 17:34 | Offensive | Craig Adams |
| Mar 27, 2011 | 2 | 18:03 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Mar 27, 2011 | 1 | 14:29 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Mar 27, 2011 | 1 | 12:59 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 2 | 06:19 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 22, 2010 | 2 | 04:14 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |