Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.2% vs 45.2%). Look for Adams on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Adams wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Santorelli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adams 46.4% vs Santorelli 46.2% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Santorelli 71.7%
Defensive zone
Adams 70.7%
Neutral zone
Adams 50.2%
Result
Craig Adams favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Adams
Santorelli
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Adams
Santorelli
Last 5: Adams 3-2 Santorelli
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Santorelli
0
1
Adams
Santorelli
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Adams
3
1
Adams
Santorelli
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adams
Santorelli
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (170)
45.1% (348)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (118)
0.0% (3)
+37.3%
On penalty kill, Adams has a +37.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Santorelli shoots right. Adams is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Adams shoots right. Santorelli is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Adams
Santorelli
Home
45.8% (131)
49.5% (188)
Away
44.7% (161)
41.3% (201)
By Period
Adams
Santorelli
P1
46.4%
48.8%
P2
48.2%
40.7%
P3
42.1%
47.0%
Final 5 min
46.8%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adams
42.0%▼
45.0%
45.2%
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2012 | 2 | 15:09 | Neutral | Craig Adams |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 2 | 14:57 | Neutral | Craig Adams |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 2 | 01:49 | Neutral | Craig Adams |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 1 | 04:37 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 1 | 01:54 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |