Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 51.2%). Adams wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adams 51.0% vs Thompson 51.1% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 52.7%
Defensive zone
Thompson 72.3%
Neutral zone
Thompson 54.6%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 60.9%
39.1%
60.9%
Adams
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Adams
Thompson
Last 5: Adams 3-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Adams
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Adams
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Adams
1
0
Adams
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adams
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (57)
52.6% (462)
+8.8%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
80.0% (10)
-80.0%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (40)
44.4% (133)
-4.4%
On power play, Thompson has a +80.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Adams is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (68).
Adams shoots right. Thompson is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Adams
Thompson
Home
47.8% (46)
52.5% (324)
Away
55.8% (52)
49.8% (281)
By Period
Adams
Thompson
P1
52.0%
49.0%
P2
38.2%
55.4%
P3
64.1%
48.3%
Final 5 min
54.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adams
42.0%▼
45.0%
52.0%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2013 | 3 | 19:42 | Neutral | Craig Adams |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 3 | 02:36 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | Craig Adams |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 1 | 01:59 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |