Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Adams wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adams 44.5% vs Thompson 52.9% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 75.4%
Defensive zone
Thompson 86.1%
Neutral zone
Thompson 82.4%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 82.5%
17.5%
82.5%
Adams
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Adams
Thompson
Last 8: Adams 5-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Adams
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Adams
Thompson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Adams
2
0
Adams
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adams
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (632)
54.1% (5,812)
-6.8%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
54.8% (135)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (386)
47.9% (1,381)
-8.8%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Adams is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (704).
Adams shoots right. Thompson is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Home / Away
Adams
Thompson
Home
42.0% (488)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
45.8% (546)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Adams
Thompson
P1
46.5%
53.2%
P2
40.5%
52.9%
P3
45.5%
52.8%
OT
50.0%
47.9%
Final 5 min
42.2%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adams
42.0%▼
45.0%
44.0%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2013 | 3 | 19:42 | Neutral | Craig Adams |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 3 | 02:36 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | Craig Adams |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 1 | 01:59 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 15, 2012 | 2 | 19:26 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Jan 15, 2012 | 1 | 11:09 | Neutral | Craig Adams |
| Jan 15, 2012 | 1 | 10:58 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |