Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Adams on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Adams wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adams 46.4% vs Couturier 47.3% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 67.0%
Defensive zone
Couturier 64.9%
Neutral zone
Couturier 62.0%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 63.8%
36.2%
63.8%
Adams
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Adams
Couturier
Last 6: Adams 5-1 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Adams
1
0
Adams
Couturier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Adams
2
0
Adams
Couturier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Adams
2
1
Adams
Couturier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adams
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (170)
47.4% (639)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (118)
44.0% (134)
-6.7%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Adams is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (188).
Adams shoots right. Couturier is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (281).
Home / Away
Adams
Couturier
Home
45.8% (131)
46.9% (446)
Away
44.7% (161)
47.2% (358)
By Period
Adams
Couturier
P1
46.4%
42.5%
P2
48.2%
47.1%
P3
42.1%
51.6%
OT
0.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
46.8%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adams
42.0%▼
45.0%
45.2%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2012 | 3 | 19:50 | Neutral | Craig Adams |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 3 | 19:41 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 3 | 17:57 | Offensive | Craig Adams |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 2 | 14:35 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 2 | 03:22 | Neutral | Craig Adams |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 1 | 02:44 | Defensive | Craig Adams |