Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Adams on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Adams wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adams 44.5% vs Couturier 52.6% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 89.7%
Defensive zone
Couturier 70.6%
Neutral zone
Couturier 80.6%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 77.6%
22.4%
77.6%
Adams
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Adams
Couturier
Last 7: Adams 5-2 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Adams
1
0
Adams
Couturier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Adams
2
1
Adams
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Adams
2
1
Adams
Couturier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adams
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (632)
52.5% (11,063)
-5.2%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
59.7% (1,280)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (386)
48.5% (1,816)
-9.4%
On power play, Couturier has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Adams is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (704).
Adams shoots right. Couturier is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (5,245).
Home / Away
Adams
Couturier
Home
42.0% (488)
53.4% (7,147)
Away
45.8% (546)
51.8% (7,019)
By Period
Adams
Couturier
P1
46.5%
52.5%
P2
40.5%
52.6%
P3
45.5%
52.9%
OT
50.0%
49.4%
Final 5 min
42.2%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adams
42.0%▼
45.0%
44.0%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2015 | 2 | 18:21 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 3 | 19:50 | Neutral | Craig Adams |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 3 | 19:41 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 3 | 17:57 | Offensive | Craig Adams |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 2 | 14:35 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 2 | 03:22 | Neutral | Craig Adams |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 1 | 02:44 | Defensive | Craig Adams |