Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Adams on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Adams wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adams 44.5% vs Stamkos 51.0% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Adams leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 94.4%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 64.7%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 81.6%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 80.8%
19.2%
80.8%
Adams
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Adams
Stamkos
Last 10: Adams 7-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Adams
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Adams
2
0
Adams
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Adams
4
2
Adams
Stamkos
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adams
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (632)
50.4% (9,799)
-3.1%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
55.1% (1,725)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (386)
49.7% (825)
-10.6%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Adams is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (330).
Adams shoots right. Stamkos is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,597).
Home / Away
Adams
Stamkos
Home
42.0% (488)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
45.8% (546)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
Adams
Stamkos
P1
46.5%
49.1%
P2
40.5%
52.7%
P3
45.5%
50.9%
OT
50.0%
54.3%
Final 5 min
42.2%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adams
42.0%▼
45.0%
44.0%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2012 | 1 | 14:40 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 15, 2012 | 3 | 10:45 | Neutral | Craig Adams |
| Jan 15, 2012 | 1 | 08:47 | Neutral | Craig Adams |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 2 | 19:28 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 2 | 07:56 | Offensive | Craig Adams |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 1 | 10:13 | Neutral | Craig Adams |
| Nov 12, 2010 | 3 | 05:30 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 12, 2010 | 3 | 02:23 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Nov 12, 2010 | 2 | 08:28 | Neutral | Craig Adams |
| Nov 12, 2010 | 1 | 14:23 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |