Scouting Report
Craig Conroy holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Conroy on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Conroy wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Dowell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Conroy 52.2% vs Dowell 48.8% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Conroy 53.9%
Defensive zone
Conroy 74.5%
Neutral zone
Conroy 67.1%
Result
Craig Conroy favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Conroy
Dowell
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Conroy
Dowell
Last 5: Conroy 4-1 Dowell
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Conroy
1
0
Conroy
Dowell
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Conroy
3
1
Conroy
Dowell
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Conroy
Dowell
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (124)
49.1% (759)
+5.7%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
38.5% (13)
+61.5%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (62)
46.9% (81)
+1.5%
On power play, Conroy has a +61.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowell shoots left. Conroy is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (156).
Conroy shoots right. Dowell is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (229).
Home / Away
Conroy
Dowell
Home
58.7% (92)
51.8% (413)
Away
48.5% (97)
45.8% (443)
By Period
Conroy
Dowell
P1
54.9%
50.4%
P2
54.8%
46.6%
P3
49.1%
49.7%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.8%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Conroy
44.0%▼
53.4%
53.4%
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2010 | 2 | 10:01 | Neutral | Craig Conroy |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 2 | 07:21 | Defensive | Craig Conroy |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 2 | 02:48 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 1 | 12:28 | Neutral | Craig Conroy |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 1 | 08:52 | Neutral | Craig Conroy |