Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Conroy wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Conroy 52.2% vs Stastny 55.1% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 52.1%
Defensive zone
Conroy 71.4%
Neutral zone
Conroy 60.7%
Result
Craig Conroy favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Conroy
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Conroy
Stastny
Last 7: Conroy 2-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
5
Conroy
Stastny
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Conroy
2
0
Conroy
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Conroy
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (124)
54.6% (10,616)
+0.2%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
59.1% (1,994)
+40.9%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (62)
52.9% (1,119)
-4.5%
On power play, Conroy has a +40.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Conroy is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (156).
Conroy shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Conroy
Stastny
Home
58.7% (92)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
48.5% (97)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Conroy
Stastny
P1
54.9%
56.3%
P2
54.8%
55.4%
P3
49.1%
53.5%
OT
100.0%
62.9%
Final 5 min
56.8%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Conroy
44.0%▼
53.4%
53.4%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2010 | 2 | 14:19 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 1 | 16:04 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 2 | 07:26 | Defensive | Craig Conroy |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 2 | 03:49 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 1 | 16:47 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 1 | 08:57 | Defensive | Craig Conroy |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 1 | 07:37 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |