Scouting Report
Craig Conroy holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Conroy on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Conroy wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Conroy 52.2% vs O'Reilly 51.6% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Conroy 50.6%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 51.1%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 50.4%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Conroy
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Conroy
O'Reilly
Last 6: Conroy 3-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Conroy
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Conroy
3
2
Conroy
O'Reilly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Conroy
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (124)
53.4% (770)
+1.4%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
55.6% (54)
+44.4%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (62)
44.4% (196)
+4.0%
On power play, Conroy has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Conroy is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (156).
Conroy shoots right. O'Reilly is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Conroy
O'Reilly
Home
58.7% (92)
53.5% (533)
Away
48.5% (97)
50.0% (492)
By Period
Conroy
O'Reilly
P1
54.9%
50.8%
P2
54.8%
52.4%
P3
49.1%
51.6%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Conroy
44.0%▼
53.4%
53.4%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2010 | 1 | 08:39 | Neutral | Craig Conroy |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 3 | 06:04 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 3 | 00:51 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 2 | 11:45 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 2 | 11:43 | Neutral | Craig Conroy |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 2 | 02:03 | Neutral | Craig Conroy |