Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Conroy on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Conroy wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Conroy 52.2% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 64.0%
Defensive zone
Conroy 62.1%
Neutral zone
Conroy 50.1%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Conroy
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Conroy
O'Reilly
Last 6: Conroy 3-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Conroy
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Conroy
3
2
Conroy
O'Reilly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Conroy
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (124)
56.2% (15,260)
-1.4%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
58.8% (3,445)
+41.2%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (62)
51.4% (2,811)
-3.0%
On power play, Conroy has a +41.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Conroy is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (156).
Conroy shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,689).
Home / Away
Conroy
O'Reilly
Home
58.7% (92)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
48.5% (97)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Conroy
O'Reilly
P1
54.9%
55.6%
P2
54.8%
57.0%
P3
49.1%
55.1%
OT
100.0%
62.2%
Final 5 min
56.8%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Conroy
44.0%▼
53.4%
53.4%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2010 | 1 | 08:39 | Neutral | Craig Conroy |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 3 | 06:04 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 3 | 00:51 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 2 | 11:45 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 2 | 11:43 | Neutral | Craig Conroy |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 2 | 02:03 | Neutral | Craig Conroy |