Scouting Report
Craig Smith holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Smith wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Malgin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 41.2% vs Malgin 40.8% (+1.3%)
Offensive zone
Smith 65.9%
Defensive zone
Malgin 71.0%
Neutral zone
Smith 51.7%
Result
Denis Malgin favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Smith
Malgin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Malgin
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (1,023)
38.9% (535)
+1.9%
Power Play
39.4% (198)
42.9% (28)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
50.0% (8)
-5.6%
On penalty kill, Malgin has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malgin shoots right. Smith is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (311).
Smith shoots right. Malgin is 39.8% vs right-shot opponents (161).
Home / Away
Smith
Malgin
Home
42.3% (556)
37.4% (273)
Away
39.1% (675)
40.9% (298)
By Period
Smith
Malgin
P1
39.0%
37.2%
P2
42.1%
39.0%
P3
40.2%
40.7%
OT
75.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
40.8%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
40.5%
Malgin
44.0%▲
40.5%
39.2%