Scouting Report
Eric Belanger holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Belanger on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Smith wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Belanger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 45.2% vs Belanger 54.8% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Belanger leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Smith 87.7%
Defensive zone
Belanger 57.7%
Neutral zone
Smith 73.3%
Result
Craig Smith favored at 66.9%
66.9%
33.1%
Smith
Belanger
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Smith
Belanger
Last 10: Smith 3-7 Belanger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
0
Smith
Belanger
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Belanger
1
2
Smith
Belanger
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Belanger
0
5
Smith
Belanger
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Belanger
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (332)
57.4% (754)
-12.5%
Power Play
38.9% (54)
49.0% (49)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
49.5% (196)
+0.5%
On even strength, Belanger has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Belanger shoots left. Smith is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (292).
Smith shoots right. Belanger is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Smith
Belanger
Home
46.1% (167)
55.5% (519)
Away
42.5% (226)
55.1% (488)
By Period
Smith
Belanger
P1
42.1%
53.1%
P2
43.4%
58.0%
P3
47.0%
54.5%
OT
50.0%
63.6%
Final 5 min
42.6%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
44.0%
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2012 | 1 | 12:32 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 1 | 12:29 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 1 | 02:53 | Defensive | Craig Smith |
| Nov 28, 2011 | 2 | 05:42 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Nov 28, 2011 | 2 | 05:34 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Nov 28, 2011 | 2 | 00:57 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Nov 28, 2011 | 1 | 07:07 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Nov 22, 2011 | 2 | 03:34 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Nov 22, 2011 | 1 | 07:49 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Nov 22, 2011 | 1 | 07:40 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |