Scouting Report
Eric Belanger holds a +14.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Belanger on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Smith wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Belanger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 41.2% vs Belanger 54.9% (-14.6%)
H2H factor
Belanger leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Smith 91.3%
Defensive zone
Belanger 80.2%
Neutral zone
Smith 74.0%
Result
Craig Smith favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Smith
Belanger
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Smith
Belanger
Last 10: Smith 4-6 Belanger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
3
0
Smith
Belanger
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Belanger
1
2
Smith
Belanger
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Belanger
0
6
Smith
Belanger
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Belanger
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (1,023)
57.1% (2,043)
-16.3%
Power Play
39.4% (198)
57.8% (166)
-18.4%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
44.9% (459)
-0.5%
On power play, Belanger has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Belanger shoots left. Smith is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (920).
Smith shoots right. Belanger is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Smith
Belanger
Home
42.3% (556)
56.3% (1,350)
Away
39.1% (675)
53.8% (1,332)
By Period
Smith
Belanger
P1
39.0%
53.5%
P2
42.1%
55.4%
P3
40.2%
56.2%
OT
75.0%
53.1%
Final 5 min
40.8%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
40.5%
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2013 | 3 | 04:43 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 1 | 03:55 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 1 | 12:32 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 1 | 12:29 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 1 | 02:53 | Defensive | Craig Smith |
| Nov 28, 2011 | 2 | 05:42 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Nov 28, 2011 | 2 | 05:34 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Nov 28, 2011 | 2 | 00:57 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Nov 28, 2011 | 1 | 07:07 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Nov 22, 2011 | 2 | 03:34 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Nov 22, 2011 | 1 | 07:49 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Nov 22, 2011 | 1 | 07:40 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |