Scouting Report
Kyle Chipchura holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Chipchura on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Smith wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Chipchura shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 41.2% vs Chipchura 50.3% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 86.0%
Defensive zone
Chipchura 91.9%
Neutral zone
Chipchura 50.6%
Result
Kyle Chipchura favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Smith
Chipchura
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Smith
Chipchura
Last 8: Smith 4-4 Chipchura
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
0
Smith
Chipchura
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chipchura
1
2
Smith
Chipchura
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chipchura
1
2
Smith
Chipchura
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Chipchura
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (1,023)
50.9% (2,100)
-10.1%
Power Play
39.4% (198)
45.7% (46)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
45.0% (171)
-0.6%
On even strength, Chipchura has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chipchura shoots left. Smith is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (920).
Smith shoots right. Chipchura is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (769).
Home / Away
Smith
Chipchura
Home
42.3% (556)
50.7% (1,143)
Away
39.1% (675)
49.9% (1,179)
By Period
Smith
Chipchura
P1
39.0%
51.1%
P2
42.1%
50.3%
P3
40.2%
48.9%
OT
75.0%
78.6%
Final 5 min
40.8%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
40.5%
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2011 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Craig Smith |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 2 | 01:12 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 2 | 00:55 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 18:22 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 15:50 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 08:45 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 05:59 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 05:43 | Neutral | Craig Smith |