Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (40.5% vs 40.2%). Smith wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Coronato shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 41.2% vs Coronato 42.7% (+0.3%)
Offensive zone
Smith 54.9%
Defensive zone
Smith 51.5%
Neutral zone
Smith 52.0%
Result
Craig Smith favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Smith
Coronato
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Coronato
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (1,023)
38.0% (237)
+2.8%
Power Play
39.4% (198)
49.2% (59)
-9.8%
On power play, Coronato has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coronato shoots right. Smith is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (311).
Smith shoots right. Coronato is 43.2% vs right-shot opponents (37).
Home / Away
Smith
Coronato
Home
42.3% (556)
39.4% (160)
Away
39.1% (675)
41.2% (136)
By Period
Smith
Coronato
P1
39.0%
41.5%
P2
42.1%
36.7%
P3
40.2%
40.4%
OT
75.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
40.8%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
40.5%
Coronato
46.0%▲
38.5%
40.2%