Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +17.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 48.2% vs Backlund 50.5% (-17.2%)
Offensive zone
Smith 56.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 74.9%
Neutral zone
Backlund 52.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Smith
Backlund
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (12)
51.5% (983)
-18.2%
On even strength, Backlund has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Smith is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (10).
Smith shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Smith
Backlund
Home
16.7% (6)
51.6% (653)
Away
50.0% (6)
49.3% (576)
By Period
Smith
Backlund
P1
16.7%
50.0%
P2
75.0%
49.8%
P3
0.0%
51.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
33.3%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%