Scouting Report
Ryan Smyth holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Smyth on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Smith wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Smyth shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 41.2% vs Smyth 45.8% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 67.5%
Defensive zone
Smyth 74.6%
Neutral zone
Smith 51.4%
Result
Craig Smith favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Smith
Smyth
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Smith
Smyth
Last 8: Smith 4-4 Smyth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
0
Smith
Smyth
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smyth
0
1
Smith
Smyth
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smyth
2
3
Smith
Smyth
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Smyth
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (1,023)
45.2% (456)
-4.4%
Power Play
39.4% (198)
51.8% (164)
-12.4%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
23.3% (43)
+21.1%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smyth shoots left. Smith is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (920).
Smith shoots right. Smyth is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Smith
Smyth
Home
42.3% (556)
49.7% (340)
Away
39.1% (675)
40.5% (326)
By Period
Smith
Smyth
P1
39.0%
48.3%
P2
42.1%
41.7%
P3
40.2%
46.5%
OT
75.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
40.8%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
40.5%
Smyth
50.0%▬
50.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2013 | 2 | 11:49 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 3 | 19:53 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 2 | 18:34 | Neutral | Ryan Smyth |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 2 | 18:22 | Neutral | Ryan Smyth |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 2 | 14:52 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 2 | 10:15 | Neutral | Ryan Smyth |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 2 | 02:15 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 1 | 13:32 | Defensive | Ryan Smyth |