Scouting Report
Samuel Pahlsson holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pahlsson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Smith wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Pahlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 41.2% vs Pahlsson 52.2% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Pahlsson leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Smith 97.5%
Defensive zone
Pahlsson 77.1%
Neutral zone
Smith 79.5%
Result
Craig Smith favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Smith
Pahlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Smith
Pahlsson
Last 10: Smith 3-7 Pahlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
3
0
Smith
Pahlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
0
3
Smith
Pahlsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
0
4
Smith
Pahlsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Pahlsson
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (1,023)
53.0% (1,716)
-12.2%
Power Play
39.4% (198)
60.0% (35)
-20.6%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
49.8% (548)
-5.4%
On power play, Pahlsson has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pahlsson shoots left. Smith is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (920).
Smith shoots right. Pahlsson is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (680).
Home / Away
Smith
Pahlsson
Home
42.3% (556)
54.4% (1,136)
Away
39.1% (675)
50.3% (1,188)
By Period
Smith
Pahlsson
P1
39.0%
54.6%
P2
42.1%
50.7%
P3
40.2%
51.8%
OT
75.0%
44.8%
Final 5 min
40.8%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
40.5%
Pahlsson
54.0%▼
59.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2012 | 1 | 09:02 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 3 | 01:37 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 18:41 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 2 | 04:49 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 2 | 03:29 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 1 | 06:05 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |