Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Horcoff on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Smith wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 45.2% vs Horcoff 49.4% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horcoff 63.5%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 89.0%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 77.4%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 78.3%
21.7%
78.3%
Smith
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Smith
Horcoff
Last 8: Smith 5-3 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
0
Smith
Horcoff
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
1
2
Smith
Horcoff
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
2
1
Smith
Horcoff
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (332)
49.9% (976)
-5.0%
Power Play
38.9% (54)
49.4% (241)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
46.8% (233)
+3.2%
On power play, Horcoff has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Smith is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (292).
Smith shoots right. Horcoff is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (418).
Home / Away
Smith
Horcoff
Home
46.1% (167)
52.1% (755)
Away
42.5% (226)
46.5% (720)
By Period
Smith
Horcoff
P1
42.1%
49.3%
P2
43.4%
47.9%
P3
47.0%
50.7%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.6%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
44.0%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2012 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 2 | 14:03 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 2 | 05:51 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 1 | 05:45 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Nov 28, 2011 | 3 | 09:52 | Defensive | Craig Smith |
| Nov 28, 2011 | 3 | 02:25 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 22, 2011 | 3 | 02:55 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Nov 22, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |