Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Horcoff on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Smith wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 41.2% vs Horcoff 49.6% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Smith 69.6%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 96.5%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 72.1%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 77.4%
22.6%
77.4%
Smith
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Smith
Horcoff
Last 10: Smith 6-4 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
0
Smith
Horcoff
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
2
4
Smith
Horcoff
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
3
1
Smith
Horcoff
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (1,023)
50.6% (3,133)
-9.8%
Power Play
39.4% (198)
51.4% (555)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
43.0% (567)
+1.4%
On power play, Horcoff has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Smith is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (920).
Smith shoots right. Horcoff is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,303).
Home / Away
Smith
Horcoff
Home
42.3% (556)
51.1% (2,199)
Away
39.1% (675)
48.0% (2,104)
By Period
Smith
Horcoff
P1
39.0%
48.2%
P2
42.1%
49.5%
P3
40.2%
50.9%
OT
75.0%
51.9%
Final 5 min
40.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
40.5%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2015 | 1 | 17:05 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 3 | 11:51 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 17, 2013 | 1 | 13:34 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Mar 17, 2013 | 1 | 13:26 | Defensive | Craig Smith |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 2 | 14:03 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 2 | 05:51 | Neutral | Craig Smith |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 1 | 05:45 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Nov 28, 2011 | 3 | 09:52 | Defensive | Craig Smith |
| Nov 28, 2011 | 3 | 02:25 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 22, 2011 | 3 | 02:55 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Nov 22, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |