Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Boyle wins 45.8% vs right-shot opponents — Lazar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.6% vs Lazar 45.0% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 59.7%
Defensive zone
Lazar 65.7%
Neutral zone
Lazar 60.4%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Boyle
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Boyle
Lazar
Last 9: Boyle 2-7 Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
0
3
Boyle
Lazar
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
2
0
Boyle
Lazar
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
0
4
Boyle
Lazar
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (517)
44.3% (341)
+8.3%
Power Play
54.3% (35)
46.2% (26)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (130)
29.4% (17)
+12.9%
On penalty kill, Boyle has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Boyle is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (299).
Boyle shoots left. Lazar is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (262).
Home / Away
Boyle
Lazar
Home
52.4% (315)
45.0% (202)
Away
49.3% (367)
42.3% (182)
By Period
Boyle
Lazar
P1
51.1%
45.5%
P2
52.6%
43.0%
P3
48.3%
42.1%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.5%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
50.7%
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2016 | 1 | 02:35 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 1 | 14:14 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 1 | 05:29 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 1 | 05:23 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 3 | 01:59 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 2 | 09:10 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 2 | 05:10 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 1 | 18:16 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 1 | 06:53 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |