Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Cizikas wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Lazar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 52.8% vs Lazar 48.3% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 68.2%
Defensive zone
Lazar 73.5%
Neutral zone
Lazar 68.4%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 69.0%
31.0%
69.0%
Cizikas
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Cizikas
Lazar
Last 8: Cizikas 2-6 Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Lazar
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
0
1
Cizikas
Lazar
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
4
Cizikas
Lazar
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (488)
49.6% (272)
+6.1%
Power Play
68.4% (19)
66.7% (6)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (132)
36.8% (57)
+4.9%
On even strength, Cizikas has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Cizikas is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (291).
Cizikas shoots left. Lazar is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (227).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Lazar
Home
54.3% (313)
47.8% (157)
Away
52.1% (326)
47.8% (178)
By Period
Cizikas
Lazar
P1
55.9%
41.7%
P2
54.6%
50.8%
P3
48.7%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
58.0%
53.2%
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2021 | 1 | 02:53 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 3 | 18:24 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 03:59 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 12:38 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 05:16 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 1 | 02:05 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |