Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.3% vs 47.8%). Look for Coyle on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.6% vs Lazar 48.3% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 63.4%
Defensive zone
Lazar 63.8%
Neutral zone
Lazar 53.9%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Coyle
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Coyle
Lazar
Last 7: Coyle 4-3 Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Lazar
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Lazar
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
2
Coyle
Lazar
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (402)
49.6% (272)
-1.3%
Power Play
51.2% (41)
66.7% (6)
-15.5%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (64)
36.8% (57)
+10.1%
On power play, Lazar has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Coyle shoots right. Lazar is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Home / Away
Coyle
Lazar
Home
52.5% (238)
47.8% (157)
Away
44.6% (269)
47.8% (178)
By Period
Coyle
Lazar
P1
49.7%
41.7%
P2
49.5%
50.8%
P3
46.3%
50.0%
OT
33.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.3%
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 14:12 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 16:33 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 08:07 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 01:54 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 01:35 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 01:29 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |