Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Grant 52.2% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Grant leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Lazar 55.8%
Defensive zone
Grant 57.0%
Neutral zone
Lazar 50.3%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Lazar
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Lazar
Grant
Last 10: Lazar 4-6 Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
4
1
Lazar
Grant
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
1
5
Lazar
Grant
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
0
1
Lazar
Grant
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,658)
53.7% (2,864)
-3.5%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
61.7% (175)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
46.0% (922)
-4.1%
On power play, Grant has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Lazar is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,281).
Lazar shoots right. Grant is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,349).
Home / Away
Lazar
Grant
Home
50.1% (1,542)
54.3% (1,956)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
50.2% (2,005)
By Period
Lazar
Grant
P1
48.9%
51.1%
P2
48.9%
51.5%
P3
49.5%
54.3%
OT
56.5%
35.7%
Final 5 min
49.9%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
49.1%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 00:26 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 3 | 19:39 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 1 | 17:31 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 9, 2020 | 2 | 08:16 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 9, 2020 | 2 | 08:04 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 3 | 06:17 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 3 | 02:55 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 2 | 17:25 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 2 | 02:56 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 1 | 15:08 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 1 | 02:34 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 1 | 02:27 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |