Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundeström on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lazar wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Lundeström shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.0% vs Lundeström 47.5% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 65.1%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 83.1%
Neutral zone
Lundeström 68.0%
Result
Isac Lundeström favored at 67.5%
32.5%
67.5%
Lazar
Lundeström
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Lazar
Lundeström
Last 6: Lazar 2-4 Lundeström
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Lundeström
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Lundeström
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundeström
0
3
Lazar
Lundeström
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Lundeström
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (356)
50.3% (626)
+1.1%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
60.0% (10)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
40.3% (300)
+6.9%
On penalty kill, Lazar has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lundeström shoots left. Lazar is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Lazar shoots right. Lundeström is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Home / Away
Lazar
Lundeström
Home
49.7% (163)
48.4% (504)
Away
52.3% (237)
45.8% (432)
By Period
Lazar
Lundeström
P1
46.9%
50.2%
P2
53.3%
43.5%
P3
53.3%
47.8%
Final 5 min
52.1%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.3%
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 12:02 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 11:56 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 08:26 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 14:57 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 06:03 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 2 | 01:55 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |