Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 57.8% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 55.9% vs Compher 50.9% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 53.0%
Defensive zone
Lazar 78.7%
Neutral zone
Lazar 59.0%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 72.2%
72.2%
27.8%
Lazar
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Lazar
Compher
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
0
Lazar
Compher
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
0
1
Lazar
Compher
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
60.4% (139)
52.9% (582)
+7.5%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
38.5% (13)
-38.5%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (66)
36.4% (66)
+19.7%
On power play, Compher has a +38.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Lazar is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (45).
Lazar shoots right. Compher is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (201).
Home / Away
Lazar
Compher
Home
63.0% (127)
52.2% (360)
Away
51.9% (79)
49.5% (301)
By Period
Lazar
Compher
P1
60.6%
55.4%
P2
59.7%
49.8%
P3
55.6%
48.5%
Final 5 min
67.3%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
58.7%
Compher
60.0%▲
49.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 15:35 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 03:07 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:47 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |