Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 60.4% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 58.1% vs Compher 51.8% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 60.2%
Defensive zone
Lazar 79.5%
Neutral zone
Lazar 62.9%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 74.0%
74.0%
26.0%
Lazar
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Lazar
Compher
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
0
Lazar
Compher
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
0
1
Lazar
Compher
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
63.8% (174)
53.9% (757)
+9.9%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
54.8% (31)
-54.8%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (71)
35.6% (90)
+20.7%
On power play, Compher has a +54.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Lazar is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Lazar shoots right. Compher is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Home / Away
Lazar
Compher
Home
63.3% (128)
52.4% (429)
Away
59.3% (118)
51.7% (449)
By Period
Lazar
Compher
P1
64.6%
56.0%
P2
60.5%
50.0%
P3
59.0%
50.6%
Final 5 min
68.4%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
61.4%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 15:35 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 03:07 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:47 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |