Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lazar wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.1% vs Compher 48.9% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 63.3%
Defensive zone
Compher 54.7%
Neutral zone
Compher 62.4%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Lazar
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Lazar
Compher
Last 9: Lazar 3-6 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
2
Lazar
Compher
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Compher
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
1
3
Lazar
Compher
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (242)
49.3% (1,149)
+3.6%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
53.9% (204)
+46.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (27)
43.6% (312)
-10.3%
On power play, Lazar has a +46.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Lazar is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Lazar shoots right. Compher is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Lazar
Compher
Home
57.1% (119)
50.7% (872)
Away
47.1% (153)
46.8% (793)
By Period
Lazar
Compher
P1
53.1%
49.9%
P2
52.2%
47.9%
P3
48.8%
49.0%
Final 5 min
42.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
51.5%
Compher
60.0%▲
49.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2023 | 3 | 17:24 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 3 | 07:13 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 2 | 14:42 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 3 | 18:24 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 3 | 11:28 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 3 | 11:20 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 09:12 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 14:56 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |