Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McCann on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 48.3% vs McCann 46.3% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 75.4%
Defensive zone
Lazar 63.3%
Neutral zone
McCann 56.5%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
Lazar
McCann
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lazar
McCann
Last 5: Lazar 2-3 McCann
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
1
2
Lazar
McCann
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
McCann
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCann
0
1
Lazar
McCann
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (272)
43.4% (106)
+6.2%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
42.9% (21)
+23.8%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (57)
50.0% (2)
-13.2%
On power play, Lazar has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. Lazar is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (227).
Lazar shoots right. McCann is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (77).
Home / Away
Lazar
McCann
Home
47.8% (157)
43.3% (60)
Away
47.8% (178)
43.5% (69)
By Period
Lazar
McCann
P1
41.7%
42.5%
P2
50.8%
40.4%
P3
50.0%
48.7%
OT
75.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.7%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
47.8%
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2021 | 1 | 08:23 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 01:59 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 1 | 17:17 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 1 | 10:04 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |