Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McCann on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs McCann 43.0% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
McCann leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
McCann 71.2%
Defensive zone
Lazar 69.1%
Neutral zone
McCann 54.2%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Lazar
McCann
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Lazar
McCann
Last 10: Lazar 5-5 McCann
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
1
3
Lazar
McCann
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
1
Lazar
McCann
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
3
2
Lazar
McCann
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,658)
43.1% (3,178)
+7.1%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
40.0% (260)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
42.2% (173)
-0.3%
On power play, Lazar has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. Lazar is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,281).
Lazar shoots right. McCann is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,310).
Home / Away
Lazar
McCann
Home
50.1% (1,542)
43.1% (1,758)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
42.5% (1,855)
By Period
Lazar
McCann
P1
48.9%
44.4%
P2
48.9%
41.7%
P3
49.5%
42.7%
OT
56.5%
36.4%
Final 5 min
49.9%
41.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
49.1%
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2025 | 3 | 01:04 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 1 | 08:23 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 01:59 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 1 | 17:17 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 1 | 10:04 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 1 | 09:01 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 1 | 18:21 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 3 | 18:56 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 3 | 19:31 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 3 | 02:34 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 2 | 17:25 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |