Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Spezza 52.4% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 84.9%
Defensive zone
Lazar 71.3%
Neutral zone
Spezza 53.9%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Lazar
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Lazar
Spezza
Last 6: Lazar 4-2 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Spezza
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
1
Lazar
Spezza
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
3
1
Lazar
Spezza
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (232)
53.7% (451)
-2.4%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
54.3% (92)
-54.3%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (45)
38.2% (34)
-0.4%
On power play, Spezza has a +54.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Lazar is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Lazar shoots right. Spezza is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Lazar
Spezza
Home
43.5% (131)
55.0% (282)
Away
53.7% (147)
50.8% (295)
By Period
Lazar
Spezza
P1
53.8%
53.1%
P2
50.5%
53.2%
P3
41.2%
52.3%
Final 5 min
46.3%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.9%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 19:50 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 12:49 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 02:58 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 00:15 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |