Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lazar wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 45.0% vs Beagle 57.0% (-14.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 67.0%
Defensive zone
Lazar 52.8%
Neutral zone
Lazar 66.7%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Lazar
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lazar
Beagle
Last 5: Lazar 1-4 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
2
Lazar
Beagle
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
2
Lazar
Beagle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (341)
58.1% (485)
-13.8%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
84.6% (13)
-38.4%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
55.4% (139)
-26.0%
On power play, Beagle has a +38.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Lazar is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (122).
Lazar shoots right. Beagle is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Home / Away
Lazar
Beagle
Home
45.0% (202)
57.0% (307)
Away
42.3% (182)
59.1% (330)
By Period
Lazar
Beagle
P1
45.5%
59.1%
P2
43.0%
59.8%
P3
42.1%
56.4%
OT
66.7%
20.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
43.8%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 16:06 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 13:34 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 13:28 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 2 | 10:10 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 2 | 01:47 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |